Tuesday, December 2, 2008

Another Look at SP ... Gibson

With all of the bidding craziness at hand, I thought a more detailed look into aspects of rosters was needed.  I've taken alot of information from various stat sources and have come up with my own ranking on how things might turn out.  This is my opinion and things can/will change.  There are quite a few SP out there that will help shape up DBA rotations.  I'm going to look at each team's top 4 FT SP and their relation to the rest of the SP out there.  My shorthand will be in the following form ... Overall Rank / Home Rank / Road Rank ... Each of those are adjusted ranks on how well the SP should overall, or with the majority of starts on the road or at home.  With the rankings, your #1 starter should be in the top 20, #2 in the top 40, #3 in the top 60 and #4 in the top 80.

Homer (HSD) -- Galarraga (5/89/6), Maine (25/67/27), Greinke (27/81/25), Jurrjens (41/36/63)

It was a toss up between HSD and RBC on which staff would lead the division.  I chose HSD because of the depth.  Galarraga has the best set of stats for a #1 in the division, but will need to pitch carefully at home to maintain it.  Maine is a high quality #2 SP and Greinke is lights out at #3.  Jurrjens is by far the best #4 SP out there at the moment.  Jurrjens is the reason this staff is #1.

Rio Brazos (RBC) -- Halladay (6/3/21), Lincecum (9/2/22), Danks (32/19/59), Sanchez (77/54/56)

Halladay has the second best #1 SP stats in the division, but will probably outperform #1.  Lincecum is THE best #2 SP out there and would be #1 on almost any other team.  Danks is a very high quality #3 SP.  However, at #4, Sanchez is just above average, which drops RBC into the #2 slot in the division.

Lehigh Valley (LVP) -- Matsuzaka (11/49/16), Santana (13/7/26), Haren (30/12/32), Byrd (88/126/89)

Talk about getting the short end of the stick.  In the other two divisions, this staff would be #1/#2 easy.  Here, its just a solid 3.  Matsuzaka is a great #1, but only the 4th best pitcher in the division.  Santana is outstanding at #2, while Haren is a solid #2 as well.  Byrd is average at best in the #4 hole.  If LVP upgrades at all, they will challenge the top of the division.

Saint Gabriel (ILL) -- Sabathia (12/4/10), Zambrano (40/13/77), Johnson (55/38/18), ???

Sandwiched in between Dice-K and Johan is CC Sabathia, ILL's #1.  He should do remarkably well in that role.  Zambrano is merely average in the #2, but proper usage could lead to overperformance.  Johnson is an average #3 SP as well.  The #4 SP slot is up for grabs right now.  A solid hold on the 4th staff in the division.

Lebanon (LEB) -- Shields (42/28/71), Carmona (87/107/98), Cueto (101/74/113), Robertson (135/124/137)

The drop-off is mighty to fifth.  Shields is an average #2 filling in the #1 hole.  Carmona is a marginal #4 filling in at #2.  Cueto is a decent #5 and there are only 5 SP worse than Robertson.

Carbondale (CDC) -- Campillo (85/63/65), Blackburn (99/61/114), Feldman (109/99/116), Martinez (121/114/125)

The basement of the division is filled with #4/#5 starters.  Campillo is the worst "best" SP on a staff and it goes downhill after that.  Blackburn has #3 potential if use correctly, while Feldman and Martinez are just no good.  Counting Martinez, CDC has four of the 9 worst SP on rosters right now.

2 comments:

DBA Commish said...

Garza easily becomes CDC's #1 SP. He's a bit below average for that slot, but is no doubt a huge pickup for the rotation.

Don Schleisman said...

I think Rio needs to be reassessed. Poor Manny Parra was forgotten. He fills the number 5 spot if Cook gets re-signed. That leaves 6 DBA level pitchers. 3 studs and enough of a mix at the end to look at Righty-Lefty team matchups. Also, watch out for Rio, we like to spend our money and dont need much. Another super stud could be had....