LOTTERY
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The lottery picks went exactly as I had planned. I had Longoria, Bruce, Soto, Volquez, Joba and Kershaw going in the lottery. That's where they all went, just not in the order I had projected. The top three went in order, Longoria, Soto and Volquez. Then, CDC passed on Joba, taking Bruce instead. YDL jumped all over Joba at #5, and Homer traded away #6 to OTT, who promptly took Kershaw.
SURPRISES SO FAR
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We are already to pick 26, which is a great pace. Odds are we will be finished by Thanksgiving, which was an internal goal. The clock will be reduced to 12 hours tomorrow. It should have been reduced yesterday, but I had issues with how to set that up. Those issues have been resolved.
#1) Aviles at 19 -- I'm not as high on this guy as it looks like most other owners are. I had him lasting into the 4th round, pick 79. To me, this looks like the worst pick so far. However, the blogs have Aviles' defense as underrated. If he sneaks in a 2, this could be right on the money. He's 28, so don't expect him to repeat his 325 BA. -- MISSED BY 60!!!
#2) Davis at 14 -- I like Chris Davis, especially is power display. He slugged 549 in 315 PA for Texas last year. He's just 22, so I expect even better numbers in the years to come. But I projected him as a late 2nd, early 3rd pick at 50. I don't see this as too far of a stretch. I would have liked to see another year before slapping down a multi-year commitment. -- MISSED BY 36!
#3) Blackburn at 25 -- I like Blackburn as well. He looked like one of the starters that would be there in the third round when I made my selection :-). Alas, he's not. His upside is limited as he doesn't miss many bats, but he is only 27. He will need to be extra careful next year if he wants to repeat his 1.36 WHIP. --- MISSED BY 35!
#4) Sandoval at 18 -- This San Fran catcher has come out of nowhere to post an awesome season in MLB. At 22, he has a bright future ahead of him. I just didn't see it as a first round future. Like Davis, I would have liked to see another season before giving him a multi-year deal. But a 3/9 isn't that big of a risk, since he should see a ton of PA next season and his card will be top-notch this year. I predicted Sandoval at 52. But it seems he was on everyone's radar, not just mine :-) --- MISSED BY 34!
I still have five "first-round talent" picks on my lists. I'll be incredibly happy if any one of them fall to my pick at 45.
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